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The Telegraph Voting Intention October 2019

Survey of British adults on their voting intentions and issues related to Brexit.

ComRes/Telegraph Voting Intention:

 

Con 33% +3
Lab 27% -2
LD 19% +2
Brex 13%
Green 3% -1
SNP 4% +1
UKIP 1%
Other 1% -1

(comparison to ComRes/ Telegraph poll on 11th September 2019)

Figures add up to 101% due to rounding

  • ComRes’ latest voting intention shows the Conservatives extend their lead over Labour to 6 percentage points (33% vs 27%).
  • The Conservatives maintain their lead ahead of the Brexit Party, with a 20 percentage point gap (33% vs 13% respectively).
  • Among 2016 Leave voters, the Conservatives lead the polls with 49% of the vote clearly losing some to the Brexit Party who have 28% of the 2016 Leavers vote. Conversely, among 2016 Remain voters, Labour leads marginally with 38% of the vote and the Lib Dems on 33%.
  • If the parties were to achieve these vote shares at a General Election it would result in Conservatives having an 8 seat majority (Con 329, Lab 228, LD 34, SNP 37, Brex 0, PC 3, Grn 1 source: www.electoralcalculus.co.uk). This is the first time this year that ComRes have reported a Conservative majority.

Date Published: 07/10/2019

Categories: GB | Politics

Client: The Telegraph

Methodology

ComRes surveyed 2,006 British adults online between 4th and 6th October 2019. Data were weighted to be demographically representative of all GB adults. All questions were weighted by 2017 past vote recall and EU Referendum past vote. Voting Intention is also weighted by likelihood to vote. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules

  1. Telegraph_Voting_Intention_Tables_Oct_2019 0.02 MB.