Sunday Mirror / IoS Political Poll

David Cameron has emerged from last week’s elections and referendum in a strong position, cutting Labour’s lead to one point in our ComRes poll for The Sunday Mirror and Independent on Sunday tomorrow.

Voting intention

Con         38%   (+3)

Lab          39%   (nc)

LD           11%   (+1)

Others     12%   (-4)

(Change since our poll last month, also carried out online rather than the telephone polls that ComRes runs concurrently for the daily Independent.)

On present boundaries, this would produce a Labour majority of eight. The Lib Dems have hung on to only 45% of their 2010 voters; 36% of Lib Dem 2010 voters have switched to Labour and 8% to the Conservatives.

Nick Clegg’s rating has fallen further.

Nick Clegg is turning out to be a good leader of the Liberal Democrats.

_______________          Dec      Jan        Apr       Now

Agree:                          26%      28%      24%      21%

Disagree:                      49%      49%      55%      56%

But Ed Miliband’s is only one point higher.

Ed Miliband is turning out to be a good leader of the Labour Party.

_______________          Dec      Jan       Apr      Now

Agree:                          17%     22%      24%     22%

Disagree:                      32%     35%      38%     39%

Of Labour voters, 34% say Don’t know.

Only the Prime Minister’s rating has moved in a favourable direction.

David Cameron is turning out to be a good Prime Minister.

______________           Dec       Jan        Apr       Now

Agree:                          38%      38%      37%      39%

Disagree:                      41%      43%      46%      43%

However, people do not like the planned NHS changes, they give Clegg credit for forcing the Government to pause and they prefer a coalition to the Tories ruling alone.

The Government must rethink its plans to hand over most spending decisions in the NHS to GPs/family doctors.

Agree: 62% Disagree: 15%

Nick Clegg deserves some credit for making the Conservatives think again about their NHS changes.

Agree: 49% Disagree: 26%

The coalition between the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats has probably worked out better than the Conservatives trying to go it alone.

Agree: 40% (+2 points) Disagree: 34% (-3 since last month)

And the Big Society continues to be a communications disaster.

I have heard of the Big Society but don’t know what it means.

Agree: 40% (+10) Disagree: 45% (-14 since February)

We also asked if people agreed or disagreed with the following statements:

In most cases I have sympathy for people going on strike against public spending cuts.

Agree: 48% Disagree: 37%

A big party split here: 71% of Labour voters agree, compared with 41% of Lib Dem voters and 24% of Conservatives.

The use of so-called super-injunctions against the press shows that there is one law for the rich and one for the rest.

Agree: 79% Disagree: 8%

Scotland should be an independent country.

Scotland: Agree 38% Disagree 46% (69% of SNP voters agree)

England & Wales: Agree 32% Disagree 42%

It would be appropriate for Baroness Thatcher to receive a state funeral after her death.

Agree: 30% Disagree: 45%

Now that Osama bin Laden has been killed, there is no need for British troops in Afghanistan.

Agree: 32% Disagree: 45%

ComRes interviewed 2,004 GB adults online on 11 and 12 May 2011. Data were weighted to be representative of all adults and by past vote recall. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules