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Voting intention + political attitudes poll for Independent on Sunday / Sunday Mirror published 19 December 2010.
Date Published: 18 Dec 2010
Categories: Energy | Media | Politics | Public and communities | Technology & Telecoms | UK
Description
All three party leaders have negative ratings in new Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror Poll
Voting intention
Lab 39% (-1)
Con 37% (+1)
LD 11% (-1)
Other 13% (+1)
Comparative figures from ComRes/Independent poll published 30 November. Electoral Calculus predicts on these figures a Labour majority of 18
· The Lib Dems are on the lowest ever vote share in a ComRes poll.
Ed Miliband is turning out to be a good leader of the Labour Party
Agree 17%
Disagree 33%
Don’t know 50%
Nick Clegg is turning out to be a good leader of the Liberal Democrats
Agree 26%
Disagree 49%
Don’t know 26%
David Cameron is turning out to be a good prime minister
Agree 38%
Disagree 40%
Don’t know 21%
· Nick Clegg has the largest gap between those who agree and those who disagree (23% points), with Ed Miliband in second place (16% point gap between agree and disagree) and David Cameron doing relatively well with almost as many agreeing as disagreeing that he is turning out to be a good PM
· However, the jury is still out for Ed Miliband and it is a problem for him that among people who express a view, he receives by far the lowest approval rating on this measure
· Also unfortunate for Ed Miliband is that only 39% of Labour supporters think he is turning out to be a good leader and 51% decline to offer a view
· Nick Clegg doesn’t escape censure either – 50% of 2010 Lib Dem voters disagree that he is turning out to be a good Lib Dem leader whereas only 33% think he is
· David Cameron generally does better among his party’s voters and supporters, although among 2010 Lib Dem voters 46% think he is not turning out to be a good PM compared to only 32% who think he is.
Looking back in a few years’ time, Gordon Brown will be regarded as a good prime minister
Agree 22%
Disagree 58%
Don’t know 20%
· Most people are not yet ready to come to terms with a positive retrospective opinion of Gordon Brown
· Not even half of Labour voters – either current supporters or those who voted Labour in 2010 - agree
Violent demonstrations can be justified if politicians fail to keep their promises
Agree 20%
Disagree 70%
Don’t know 10%
· There is a variance by age: fully 40% of 18-24 year-olds agree but only one in ten of those aged 55 and above
· 32% of Labour voters are sympathetic to using violence in this situation, which is much higher than for Tory voters (6%) or Lib Dems (14%)
Water cannons should be used against demonstrators if they are violent
Agree 64%
Disagree 22%
Don’t know 14%
· The group most likely to disagree are, perhaps unsurprisingly, those who are most likely to get a soaking – 18 to 24 year-olds
· By contrast, 77% of their grandparents’ generation think water cannon should be used
· A majority of supporters of all mainstream parties agree that water cannon should be used – 51% of Labour supporters, 63% of Lib Dems and fully 85% of Tories.
ComRes interviewed 2,017 GB adults online on 15-16 December 2010
Voting intention
Lab 39% (-1)
Con 37% (+1)
LD 11% (-1)
Other 13% (+1)
Comparative figures from ComRes/Independent poll published 30 November. Electoral Calculus predicts on these figures a Labour majority of 18
· The Lib Dems are on the lowest ever vote share in a ComRes poll.
Ed Miliband is turning out to be a good leader of the Labour Party
Agree 17%
Disagree 33%
Don’t know 50%
Nick Clegg is turning out to be a good leader of the Liberal Democrats
Agree 26%
Disagree 49%
Don’t know 26%
David Cameron is turning out to be a good prime minister
Agree 38%
Disagree 40%
Don’t know 21%
· Nick Clegg has the largest gap between those who agree and those who disagree (23% points), with Ed Miliband in second place (16% point gap between agree and disagree) and David Cameron doing relatively well with almost as many agreeing as disagreeing that he is turning out to be a good PM
· However, the jury is still out for Ed Miliband and it is a problem for him that among people who express a view, he receives by far the lowest approval rating on this measure
· Also unfortunate for Ed Miliband is that only 39% of Labour supporters think he is turning out to be a good leader and 51% decline to offer a view
· Nick Clegg doesn’t escape censure either – 50% of 2010 Lib Dem voters disagree that he is turning out to be a good Lib Dem leader whereas only 33% think he is
· David Cameron generally does better among his party’s voters and supporters, although among 2010 Lib Dem voters 46% think he is not turning out to be a good PM compared to only 32% who think he is.
Looking back in a few years’ time, Gordon Brown will be regarded as a good prime minister
Agree 22%
Disagree 58%
Don’t know 20%
· Most people are not yet ready to come to terms with a positive retrospective opinion of Gordon Brown
· Not even half of Labour voters – either current supporters or those who voted Labour in 2010 - agree
Violent demonstrations can be justified if politicians fail to keep their promises
Agree 20%
Disagree 70%
Don’t know 10%
· There is a variance by age: fully 40% of 18-24 year-olds agree but only one in ten of those aged 55 and above
· 32% of Labour voters are sympathetic to using violence in this situation, which is much higher than for Tory voters (6%) or Lib Dems (14%)
Water cannons should be used against demonstrators if they are violent
Agree 64%
Disagree 22%
Don’t know 14%
· The group most likely to disagree are, perhaps unsurprisingly, those who are most likely to get a soaking – 18 to 24 year-olds
· By contrast, 77% of their grandparents’ generation think water cannon should be used
· A majority of supporters of all mainstream parties agree that water cannon should be used – 51% of Labour supporters, 63% of Lib Dems and fully 85% of Tories.
ComRes interviewed 2,017 GB adults online on 15-16 December 2010
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