Voting intention and political attitudes poll for The Independent published 28 September 2009.
Date Published: 27 Sep 2009
Categories: Energy | Media | Politics | Public and communities | Technology & Telecoms | UK
Description
Labour could head off a general election defeat by ousting Gordon Brown, according to a survey for The Independent.
ComRes found that Labour would do better under all eight alternative leaders whose support it tested with the public than under Mr Brown. Under David Miliband, the Foreign Secretary, and Jack Straw, the Justice Secretary, Labour would be the largest party in a hung parliament, raising hopes that it cling on to power for a fourth term.
According to ComRes, the Tories would be the largest party in a hung parliament, but still deprived of an overall majority, if Labour were led by Ed Miliband, the Energy and Climate Change Secretary; Ed Balls, the Schools Secretary; Alan Johnson, the Home Secretary; Harriet Harman, the Commons Leader and Lord Mandelson, the Business Secretary.
But David Cameron would win a majority of 24 under backbencher Jon Cruddas and 48 if Mr Brown leads Labour into the election.
Labour is neck and neck with the Liberal Democrats for the first time in a ComRes poll. Both parties are on 23 per cent, with the Tories on 38 per cent and other parties on 16 per cent. The Liberal Democrats are up two points on last month, the Tories down two, while Labour is down one point and other parties up one.
How would you vote if the following was Labour leader?
David Miliband |
33% |
28% |
21% |
19% |
Lab 47 short |
Jack Straw |
31% |
28% |
21% |
18% |
Lab 32 short |
Ed Miliband |
33% |
27% |
21% |
19% |
Con 41 short |
Ed Balls |
34% |
25% |
22% |
19% |
Con 18 short |
Alan Johnson |
34% |
24% |
22% |
19% |
Con 14 short |
Harriet Harman |
35% |
26% |
21% |
19% |
Con 14 short |
Peter Mandelson |
35% |
24% |
22% |
18% |
Con 3 short |
Jon Cruddas |
36% |
23% |
23% |
19% |
Con maj 24 |
Gordon Brown |
38% |
23% |
23% |
16% |
Con maj 48 |
ComRes telephoned 1003 GB adults between 25 and 27 September 2009