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Independent on Sunday Political Poll tables

Three-horse race tightens with Labour still third in ComRes poll for The Independent on Sunday and Sunday Mirror

Date Published: 23 Apr 2010

Categories: Energy | Media | Politics | Public and communities | Technology & Telecoms | UK


Three-horse race tightens with Labour still third in ComRes poll for The Independent on Sunday and Sunday Mirror
Con 34%  (-1)
Lib Dem 29%  (+2)
Lab 28%  (+3)
Other 9%  (-4)
(compared with most recent ComRes poll published 21 April)

Con short of 55 majority on
Con        271
Lab         254
LD           93

Commentary from Andrew Hawkins, chairman of ComRes:

·         Overall it looks like the Lib Dems had a very modest boost from Thursday night although Gordon Brown’s performance has clearly boosted his party’s rating
·         Turnout looks set to be really quite high – 66% say ‘absolutely certain’ to vote, the highest registered of this campaign
·         The number of people who are ‘absolutely certain’ to vote but who are undecided about who to vote for now stands at 3.3million British adults.  This compares with 2.5m last week and 5m the previous week ie pre-first debate
·         Lib Dem support is still strongest among the younger age groups – 41% among 18-24s
·         Labour is ahead among C2s and DEs ie its core social groups while 35% of ABs say they’ll vote Lib Dem
·         The Lib Dem figures are particularly strong in the North of England – this is entirely consistent with our instant poll on Thursday evening


Putting your party allegiance aside, who do you trust most to steer Britain’s economy through the current downturn?


                                                            March 2010                   Now


Gordon Brown & Alistair Darling             33%                              28%

David Cameron & George Osborne        27%                              26%

Nick Clegg & Vince Cable                      13%                              22%


·         Among people who don’t know/refuse to say how they would vote, 31% say Brown & Darling, 24% say Clegg & Cable, and only 17% say Cameron & Osborne


A hung parliament, with no party having a majority, would put the economic recovery at risk
Agree               54%
Disagree           31%
·         69% of Tories and 60% of Labour voters agree
·         Lib Dems are very evenly divided – 40% agree and 44% disagree
·         However, 57% of people who are undecided or refuse to say how they would vote agree with this statement, suggesting it needs reinforcement by the two main parties
The Government should maintain current public spending plans in order to keep the recovery going
Agree               61%
Disagree           29%
·         Younger people and those in poorer social groups are, unsurprisingly, most likely to agree
·         Tories are only slightly more inclined to disagree than agree – 46% to 43%, while 83% of Labour voters and 61% of Lib Dems agree
The Government should cut public spending now to avoid higher taxes later
Agree               57%
Disagree           34%
·         Clearly a lot of people are very confused......
·         As with the previous question, younger people and those in poorer social groups are the most likely to agree with this
·         More Labour voters agree than disagree – 45% to 42%
The parties need to be tougher in tackling bankers’ bonuses
Agree               90%
Disagree           7%
·         This speaks for itself!

Methodology note:  ComRes telephoned a random sample of 1006 GB adults on 23-24 April 2010.  Data were weighted to be representative of all adults and by past vote.  ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. 

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