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Scottish Elections Tracker – 17 December

First in a new series with The Scotsman, exploring Scottish political attitudes ahead of the Holyrood elections in May 2021.

It has been brought to our attention that there was a weighting error in the first three of our Scottish voting intention polls for the Scotsman, that were published in December, January and February respectively. Subsequent polls in March and April did not suffer from the same error.

 

Instead of weighting by likelihood to vote at the correct step, the step was missed which meant that weighting was in fact turned off for our independence and Holyrood voting intentions. The tables have been corrected and the updated figures are summarised below.

 

We would like to apologise for the error, and thank the BPC for their co-operation and patience while it was fixed.

 

December

 

Indy Ref

Yes 55%

No 45%

 

Constituency VI

SNP 52%

Labour 19%

Conservative 19%

Liberal Democrats 7%

Other 3%

 

List VI

SNP 39%

Conservative 20%

Labour 20%

Liberal Democrats 7%

Green 11%

Other 3%

Date Published: 17/12/2020

Categories: Media | Politics | Voting Intention

Methodology

Savanta ComRes interviewed 1,013 Scottish adults aged 16+ online between 11 and 15 December 2020. Data were weighted to be demographically representative of Scottish adults 16+ by age, gender, region, and past voting behaviour. Savanta ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.

  1. 38028217-Scotland-Poll-W1-20210216-03_Private 0.02 MB.

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