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Daily Express Voting Intention October 2019

Survey of GB adults on voting intention and latest Brexit views

Base: All respondents likely to vote and expressing a voting intention (n=1,508)

Con 33% –
Lab 27% –
LD 18% -1
Brex 12% -1
Green 4% +1
SNP 4% –
UKIP <1% –
Other 2% +1

(figure in second column relate to ComRes/Daily Telegraph poll on 7th October 2019)

  • ComRes’ latest voting intention shows the Conservatives maintaining their lead ahead of Labour with 33% compared to 27% of the vote respectively. The Lib Dems are down 1 percentage point from ComRes’ last Voting Intention earlier this week, now on 18% of the vote.
  • The Conservatives maintain their lead over the Brexit Party, with a 21 percentage point gap (33% vs 12% respectively).
  • Among 2016 Leave voters, the Conservatives lead with 52% of the vote. Conversely, amongst 2016 Remain voters, Labour leads with 39% of the vote with Lib Dems close behind on 31%.
  • If the parties were to achieve these vote shares at a General Election it would result in Conservatives being the largest party with a 14 seat majority (Con 332, Lab 226, LD 33, SNP 37, Brex 0, PC 3, Grn 1 source: www.electoralcalculus.co.uk)

Date Published: 12/10/2019

Categories: GB | Media | Politics | Voting Intention

Client: Daily Express

Methodology

Methodology Note: ComRes surveyed 2,018 British adults on 9th – 10th October 2019. Data were weighted to be demographically representative of all GB adults. All questions were also weighted by 2017 past vote recall and EU Referendum past vote. Voting Intention is also weighted by likelihood to vote. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. 

  1. Daily-Express_Voting_Intention_October2019 0.02 MB.

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