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Britain Elects – Westminster Voting Intention, July 2019

A survey of GB adults on voting intention.

Base: All respondents likely to vote and expressing a voting intention (n=1,802)

Lab 28% –
Con 25% +1
Brex 19% -1
LD 17% +2
Green 5% –
SNP 4% +1
UKIP 1% –
Other 2% -1

(nb adds up to 101% due to rounding)

(% in brackets relate to ComRes/The Sunday Express poll on 12th July 2019)

 

  • Labour leads with a 28% share of the vote, staying in line with results throughout early July 2019.
  • Conservatives see their lead ahead of the Brexit Party widen to 6 percentage points (25% vs 19% respectively).
  • Amongst 2016 Leave voters, the Brexit Party leads the polls with 38% of the vote. Conversely, amongst 2016 Remain voters, Labour leads with 39% of the vote.
  • The Liberal Democrats’ share of the vote increased by 2 percentage point since earlier in July 2019.
  • If the parties were to achieve these vote shares at a General Election it would result in Labour being the largest party but 42 seats short of a majority (Lab 284, Con 215, LD 53, SNP 39, Brex 37, PC 3, Grn 1 source: www.electoralcalculus.co.uk)

Date Published: 18/07/2019

Categories: GB | Politics | Public and communities | Voting Intention

Client: Britain Elects

Methodology

ComRes interviewed 2,038 GB adults online between 15th and 16th July 2019. Data were weighted to be demographically representative of all GB adults by age, gender, region and social grade. Voting intention questions were also weighted by past vote recall and likelihood to vote. All other questions were also weighted by past vote in 2016 EU Referendum. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.

  1. Britain-Elects-Final-Tables-180719 0.02 MB.

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