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Voting intention and political attitudes conducted for Sunday Mirror/Independent on Sunday published 16 January 2011.
Date Published: 15 Jan 2011
Categories: Energy | Media | Politics | Public and communities | Technology & Telecoms | UK
Description
Yes Vote in AV Referendum Leads by 6 Points
ComRes for the Sunday Mirror and The Independent on Sunday tomorrow asked the official question drafted by the Electoral Commission: At present, the UK uses the “first past the post” system to elect MPs to the House of Commons. Should the “alternative vote” system be used instead?
Yes 36%
No 30%
Don't know 34%
(Answers were weighted by likelihood to vote.)
A further question suggests that the Yes vote could increase: I could be persuaded to support changing the voting system in the forthcoming referendum in May when I have heard more about the arguments for and against
Agree: 61%
Disagree: 18%
Don’t know: 21%
Among people who don’t know how they would vote in the referendum question above, 60% agree that they could be persuaded to vote ‘yes’ and only 7% disagree. If we add these potential supporters of AV to those who already do agree, the Yes vote climbs to 58%, assuming the No vote remains at 27%, and don’t knows decline to 15%.
Labour lead strengthens as Lib Dems slump to record low
Voting intention figures for a general election show the lowest Lib Dem figure recorded by ComRes since it started polling in 2004:
Con 36% (-1)
Lab 40% (+1)
LD 10% (-1)
Others 14% (+1)
Change since last online ComRes poll for IoS/SM 19 December.
Electoral Calculus shows a Labour majority of 40 and the Lib Dems reduced to just 14 seats.
Additional Questions:
At a time of major public spending cuts the Government should be much tougher in clawing back bankers’ bonuses through the tax system
Agree: 81%
Disagree: 9%
Don’t know: 10%
A Labour government under Ed Miliband would be better at protecting people’s jobs
Agree: 30%
Disagree: 38%
Don’t know: 32%
Only 13% of Lib Dem voters agree.
Ed Miliband is turning out to be a good leader of the Labour party
Now Dec
Agree: 22% 17%
Disagree 35% 32%
Don’t know: 43% 50%
Andrew Hawkins, Chairman of ComRes, commented: "Ed M is not effectively reaching across party divides either: 20% of people who voted Lib Dem in 2010 agree, 30% disagree. When we compare this with the fact that 35% of 2010 Lib Dem voters would now switch to Labour, it appears that this support for Labour is despite Ed M’s leadership, not because of it."
Nick Clegg is turning out to be a good leader of the Liberal Democrats
Now Dec
Agree: 28% 26%
Disagree: 49% 49%
Don’t know: 23% 25%
David Cameron is turning out to be a good Prime Minister
Now Dec
Agree: 38% 38%
Disagree: 43% 41%
Don’t know: 19% 21%
"Current Lib Dem voters are fairly positive, on 50% agreement compared to 30% who disagree. Perhaps this offers comfort to those arguing for Coalition candidates in some seats?"
Methodology note:
ComRes interviewed 2,006 GB adults online 12th-13th January 2011. Data were weighted by past vote recall. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.
ComRes for the Sunday Mirror and The Independent on Sunday tomorrow asked the official question drafted by the Electoral Commission: At present, the UK uses the “first past the post” system to elect MPs to the House of Commons. Should the “alternative vote” system be used instead?
Yes 36%
No 30%
Don't know 34%
(Answers were weighted by likelihood to vote.)
A further question suggests that the Yes vote could increase: I could be persuaded to support changing the voting system in the forthcoming referendum in May when I have heard more about the arguments for and against
Agree: 61%
Disagree: 18%
Don’t know: 21%
Among people who don’t know how they would vote in the referendum question above, 60% agree that they could be persuaded to vote ‘yes’ and only 7% disagree. If we add these potential supporters of AV to those who already do agree, the Yes vote climbs to 58%, assuming the No vote remains at 27%, and don’t knows decline to 15%.
Labour lead strengthens as Lib Dems slump to record low
Voting intention figures for a general election show the lowest Lib Dem figure recorded by ComRes since it started polling in 2004:
Con 36% (-1)
Lab 40% (+1)
LD 10% (-1)
Others 14% (+1)
Change since last online ComRes poll for IoS/SM 19 December.
Electoral Calculus shows a Labour majority of 40 and the Lib Dems reduced to just 14 seats.
Additional Questions:
At a time of major public spending cuts the Government should be much tougher in clawing back bankers’ bonuses through the tax system
Agree: 81%
Disagree: 9%
Don’t know: 10%
A Labour government under Ed Miliband would be better at protecting people’s jobs
Agree: 30%
Disagree: 38%
Don’t know: 32%
Only 13% of Lib Dem voters agree.
Ed Miliband is turning out to be a good leader of the Labour party
Now Dec
Agree: 22% 17%
Disagree 35% 32%
Don’t know: 43% 50%
Andrew Hawkins, Chairman of ComRes, commented: "Ed M is not effectively reaching across party divides either: 20% of people who voted Lib Dem in 2010 agree, 30% disagree. When we compare this with the fact that 35% of 2010 Lib Dem voters would now switch to Labour, it appears that this support for Labour is despite Ed M’s leadership, not because of it."
Nick Clegg is turning out to be a good leader of the Liberal Democrats
Now Dec
Agree: 28% 26%
Disagree: 49% 49%
Don’t know: 23% 25%
David Cameron is turning out to be a good Prime Minister
Now Dec
Agree: 38% 38%
Disagree: 43% 41%
Don’t know: 19% 21%
"Current Lib Dem voters are fairly positive, on 50% agreement compared to 30% who disagree. Perhaps this offers comfort to those arguing for Coalition candidates in some seats?"
Methodology note:
ComRes interviewed 2,006 GB adults online 12th-13th January 2011. Data were weighted by past vote recall. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.
For turnout weighted AV question results email [email protected]
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