GE2019 Voting Intention poll on behalf of the Daily Telegraph
Savanta ComRes/ Daily Telegraph Voting Intention
Base: All respondents likely to vote and expressing a voting intention (n=1,628)
Con | 42% | +1 |
Lab | 31% | -2 |
LD | 15% | +1 |
Brex | 5% | – |
Green | 2% | – |
SNP | 4% | +1 |
Other | 1% | -1 |
(% in second column relate to Savanta ComRes/ Sunday Telegraph poll on the 16th November 2019)
- Savanta ComRes’ latest voting intention shows Conservatives in the lead with 42% of the vote, leading the Labour Party by eleven percentage points (42% vs. 31%).
- More than four in five (85%) of those who voted Conservative in the 2017 election intend to vote Conservative again. Whilst five percent of those who voted Conservative in 2017 intend to now vote for the Brexit Party.
- Three quarters (75%) of those who voted Labour in the 2017 election intend to vote Labour again. One in ten (11%) of those who voted Labour in 2017 intend to now vote for the Lib Dems.
- Among the 2016 Leave voters, seven in ten (69%) intend to vote for the Conservatives, while one in ten (9%) intend to vote for the Brexit Party.
- Among the 2016 Remain voters, approaching half (46%) intend to vote for Labour, while a quarter (26%) intend to vote for the Libs Dems.
- If the parties were to achieve these vote shares at a General Election, it would result in Conservatives having a majority of 66 (Con 358, Lab 219, LD 18, SNP 32, Brex 0, PC 4, Grn 1, source: www.electoralcalculus.co.uk)
Date Published: 20/11/2019
Categories: GE2019 | Politics | Voting Intention
Client: Daily Telegraph
Methodology
Savanta ComRes interviewed 2,035 British adults online from the 18th to 19th November 2019. Data were weighted to be demographically representative of all GB adults. All questions were also weighted by 2017 past vote recall and EU Referendum past vote. Voting Intention is also weighted by likelihood to vote. Savanta ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.